This conversation has been edited for length and clarity. Despite not formally endorsing DeSantis for reelection, he said the governor should be reelected. A RED RIPPLE CAN STILL BE A BIG DEAL Weve been doing this long enough to know that the most common mistake that analysts make after an election is to over-interpret the results. the long odds that national pundits and pollsters gave her, Billions at stake as online fundraising practices turn off voters, Why Harris world thinks she may be the biggest winner of the midterms, cast more than two dozen tie-breaking votes. For decades, Democratic Party leaders have relied on winning a heavy number of Latino voters to power them to office. If the two parties split those six seats evenly, Republicans will win a 51-49 majority. STAFFING UP Corey Jacobson is joining the Pentagon as special assistant to assistant secretary of Defense for space policy John Plumb. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. With one year to go until the 2022 midterm elections, and coming off a significant GOP election victory in Virginia and a surprisingly solid run in New Jersey last week, Republicans are very . Now that it looks like he's running, she's really being treated like what I would call a normal vice president, said one former Harris aide who spoke on the condition of anonymity. Tip: The width in the code can be adjusted to best fit your space. The Senate is still up for grabs. Republicans said it is expected to cost $100,000. The Worst Political Predictions of 2022, George Santos' Democratic opponent calls for congressional probe as party plots district comeback, Democrat wins Arizona attorney general race after recount, Santos scandal has no parallel: top crisis communicators, Republican Jewish Coalition denounces Santos for lies about his credentials, Arizona judge rejects Lake's election lawsuit, Why Marc Elias Wants to Babysit the Republican Party, state holiday that once honored Robert E. Lee, long history of suppressing the Black vote, THE central issue: How the fall of Roe v. Wade shook the 2022 election, GOP operative who allegedly kicked a dog hired as top aide to new congressman, Phillips resigned as Donald Trumps Georgia state director, Christie blasts Trump over Georgia Senate loss, Private RNC member emails reveal anger at Trump, frustration with McDaniels response to him, How Demographic Shifts Fueled by Covid Delivered Midterm Wins for Democrats, Trump calls for contest to create futuristic Freedom Cities. This poll of polls collates all the major exit polls conducted by different organisations for Gujarat and Himachal . Election Day Live Results: Choose a map to follow along as the votes are counted and races are called. By comparison, just 194 districts are in the Solid, Likely and Lean Democratic categories. The final pages of the 2022 midterm elections are yet to be written. Aside from a few select issues, its unlikely much will get done in Washington. I think it's a little unfair to Republicans to say that a gain in the high teens, for instance, would be some sort of big disappointment, Kondik told Playbook. Democrats bragged for years about how their advantage among Hispanic voters would propel them to a permanent majority. | John Locher/AP Photo. FINAL FORECASTS Steve Shepards final predictions were posted overnight. DeSantis was right to block this course. President Joe . 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). But on Tuesday, we saw where the plot was headed. DeSantis exposes the dishonesty of College Board. The Democrats have 195. In the latest incident, Phillips allegedly kicked the dog of a woman named Tifani Eledge with his boot, causing a cut to the animals stomach, according to an affidavit attached to a warrant for Phillips arrest. 2022 Senate Elections: Consensus Forecast, Cook Political Report 2022 Senate Ratings, Overview and Live Results: Chicago Mayoral Election, Legislative Special Elections, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin Running for U.S. Senate, Initial 2024 House Ratings from Sabato's Crystal Ball. HEADS UP National security adviser JAKE SULLIVAN has engaged in recent months in confidential conversations with top aides to Russian President VLADIMIR PUTIN in an effort to reduce the risk of a broader conflict over Ukraine and warn Moscow against using nuclear or other weapons of mass destruction, WSJs Vivian Salama and Michael Gordon report. He previously was co-founder of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. Federal and state authorities are also probing Santos finances and falsehoods he spun while running for office about where he worked, went to school and even volunteered. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, MORE: Here Are 11 Races to Watch in the 2023 Chicago Elections In the 19 th ward, which includes Beverly, Mount Greenwood and Morgan Park, Ald. 04 Mar 2023 01:54:16 A recent Wall Street Journalpoll showed just a 5-point lead for Democrats among Hispanics that's a margin that wouldve been unthinkable a decade ago. @JMilesColeman . Despite the Democratic spin and despite what the mainstream media is saying, heres the big takeaway of the night: the GOP appears poised to take back the House and the trajectory of the Biden administration will be changed forever. President Joe Bidens promises to unite the country are long gone. Herschel Walker is his creation, former New Jersey Gov. (Example: A political pundit looking at high inflation rates, general voter dissatisfaction and historic midterm trends and concluding that Democrats will get wiped out in the November elections. For purposes of this map, only states rated safe by at least six of them are shown in the darkest shade. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. Brian Sullivan lays out 2022 predictions: Inflation stays hot, and EV sales take off It's time for my best guesses for next year: 2022 is a year to go big and bold, because a boom is coming.. According to The Economist, Democrats win the majority in the Senate in 81 out of 100 simulations. However, it predicts that the GOP will likely take control of the House. More than 50 Democratic and Republican elected officials, campaign aides and consultants took POLITICO inside the first campaign after the Supreme Court's landmark ruling. And congressional campaigns spent more on fundraising as a share of their total spending in 2022 than in the previous election cycle, according to a POLITICO analysis of FEC records. Hochul and Adams face major test in 2023 on shared vision for housing, crime, Where woke goes to die: DeSantis, with eye toward 2024, launches second term, New data shows the folly of Trumps crusade against early voting, Oops! In 2020, Republicans won 26 of the 27 seats rated as Toss Up by POLITICO. The 2020 United States Senate elections were held on November 3, 2020, with the 33 class 2 seats of the Senate contested in regular elections. The final 2022 Senate race ratings fromCook Political Report. This moved liberals out of electoral districts where Democrats reliably won by large margins into many purple regions that had the potential to swing with just small changes to the map. All Rights Reserved. Tom Brenner . Every time it looks as though one party gains a lasting upper hand Democrats after 2008 and 2020, Republicans after 1994 and 2010 its legislative overreach sends it back to parity. POLITICO illustration/Photos by Getty Images. A gain over that would surpass the Democrats' recent high mark and represent them breaking into some bluer turf.. The pandemic continues to haunt Donald Trump and Republicans electoral chances a political sort of long Covid. WEEKEND WEDDING Jim Warren, a government affairs, strategy and development analyst at Martin Marietta, and Madeleine Fennell, marketing and accounting manager at Emily Daws Textiles, recently got married in Charleston, S.C.. Pic Another pic SPOTTED: Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Rep. Dan Bishop (R-N.C.), Jo Bishop, Saat Alety, Shay Hawkins, Alex Smith, John Partin, Lucas West, Kirsten West, Jude Al-hmoud and Clara Cargile. | Ross D. Franklin/AP Photo. Midterm election results 2022 senate house. Predictions That Democrats Are Doomed in the Midterms Are Wildly Overstated . Eager to get back home, and savoring his courtroom victory, Nkwonta turns to the flight attendant. Last election 36.35%, 104 seats 38.14%, 80 seats 18.3%, 37 seats . THE 30,000-FOOT VIEW After a Life of Struggle, Biden Faces One More Inflection Point, by NYTs Peter Baker in Albuquerque, N.M.: Mr. In 2016, Phillips resigned as Donald Trumps Georgia state director after his prior criminal history was revealed. Get to know all the movers and shakers in Westminster and never miss a beat of British politics with a free subscription. 40,114,753 early votes cast as of 3:33 p.m. Sunday, per the United States Elections Project. She was a generous tipper, per our tipster. Dont miss out on the app you can rely on for the news you need, reimagined. Steve Shepard, our chief forecaster, has settled on four core principles The final2022 Senate Power Rankings from Fox News. Market data provided by Factset. TALLAHASSEE, Fla. After four years of building a national profile and cementing his place as the favorite governor for conservatives across the country, Florida Gov. This combination of both parties being resistant to change while also being highly competitive with each other raises the stakes of politics and makes them more explosive, political scientists John Sides, Chris Tausanovitch and Lynn Vavreck write in The Bitter End: The 2020 Presidential Campaign and the Challenge to American Democracy ($29.95), which documented how seemingly significant convulsions in national politics, such as the Covid pandemic and the BLM protests, did not translate into major changes in overall voting patterns, though were enough to dislodge Trump. It wont be true. Political scientists know that the president's party loses seats in midterms. After a New York Times investigation, the congressman-elect told the New York Post that he had indeed fabricated elements of his background, including his Jewish heritage. All 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives will be up for grabs. According to his own pollsters, the former presidents misguided and unreliable management of the public health crisis cost him the 2020 election. Market data provided by Factset. Both Vermont and Nevada saw split-ticket voters decide statewide races, by a gaping margin in Vermont and a narrow one in Nevada. ; Republicans win the majority in the House in 67 out of . Fri 25 Feb 2022 06.55 EST Last modified on Sun 27 Feb 2022 19.27 . Christie noted that Walker was the only Republican running statewide in Georgia to lose this year. Here are our predictions for national control of Congress, key California ballot measures, and local races in Los Angeles, Culver City, Santa Monica, West Hollywood, Berkeley, and Oakland. That consortium known as Electronic Registration Information Center, or ERIC has been a genuine bipartisan success story, finding buy-in from red states like Florida and Texas and blue states like Colorado and Connecticut to help them remove duplicate voter registrations and catch potential instances of double voting. Inflation, crime, progressive attempts at overreach and a general sense that President Biden is not up to the job will likely deliver a surprisingly large victory to Republicans. Sign up today. Leo March, 2023 Horoscope: Your monthly horoscope is here to provide you with the insight and guidance you need to navigate the ups and downs of life. Share or Embed your Map: Select 'Share Map' button above. The 44-year-old DeSantis focused much of his attention on national not state issues, and used a Bible he borrowed from Glenn Beck, a nationally-syndicated conservative radio host, for his swearing in. FIRST IN PLAYBOOK David Castagnetti is joining Dentons Global Advisors as a partner. Former New Jersey Gov. Lawmakers of both parties made it easier to vote by expanding availability of mail and early voting in a politically mixed group of states: Vermont, Kentucky and Nevada. Election data from a trio of states that dramatically expanded the ability to cast ballots before Election Day, either early or by mail, demonstrate that the voting methods that were decidedly uncontroversial before Trump do not clearly help either party. Our polls-based model predicts that Fetterman will win the election with a two-party vote share of 52.7%. Santos admitted he hadnt directly worked for Goldman Sachs and Citigroup and had not graduated from Baruch College, nor from any institution of higher learning.. Michael Moore, who predicted Donald Trump's 2016 victory, has made a prediction about the 2022. Republican nominee DIEGO MORALES, a former gubernatorial aide to MIKE PENCE who has called the 2020 election a scam, has been dogged by controversy in recent months, including allegations of sexual improprieties, voter fraud and misuse of campaign funds. As it is every two years, control of the House and Senate will once again be at stake in the November 2022 midterm elections, and one of the best tools we have for predicting those election. Were spilling the tea (and drinking tons of it in our newsroom) in U.K. politics with our latest newsletter, London Playbook PM. Political experts issue midterm election predictions, most conclude GOP will take House and Senate is toss-up Fox News Power Rankings predicts Republicans will take control of the House, while the . The House of Representatives remains undecided, but Democrats have retained control of the Senate. Its a middle-class district where about a quarter of residents are college graduates, and the median income is just under the national median household income of $70,784. The unofficial guide to official Washington. More in 2022 Election. Karl Rove weighs in on the latest Fox News race projections and examines key congressional races that could determine a GOP takeover. By DANIELLE MUOIO DUNN and ANNA GRONEWOLD. Nov. 6, 2022 Georgia's 2nd District Previous rating: Likely Democratic Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. After spending much of her time in office managing bad headlines, staff turnover and persistent questions about her portfolio and position in Biden world, the vice president is in a better place, her allies and aides say. A GOP sweep of those Toss Up races would represent a gain of nearly 30 seats, and its not unusual for one party to win the lions share of competitive contests. Legal Statement. This Congresswoman Is Taking on the Industry She Says Is to Blame. An Arizona court on Saturday rejected Kari Lakes efforts to overturn the results of November's gubernatorial election. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. The Toss-Up tan color is used where neither party currently has a 60% or higher chance of winning. On balance, we expect the reapportionment of House seats which we analyzed late last month to benefit Republicans to a small extent. Accidental opioid overdoses can happen to anyone, anywhere, at any time. Swing state voters broadly rejected candidates in last years midterms who questioned the results of the 2020 elections. Congressional campaigns spent more on fundraising as a share of their total spending in 2022 than in the previous election cycle. The success of past predictions can be checked via our Search box. If you choose McMullin, his seat will not be added to the total of either party. The thread begins with a heartfelt message from committeeman Richard Porter from Illinois on Thanksgiving Day. Tuesday night, Hispanics powered the GOP to victory in Florida. Now Democrats with the aid of one powerful D.C. law firm are mounting a counteroffensive. The Fed predicts core PCE inflation of 2.7 percent in 2022; the Congressional Budget Office predicts 2 percent. ON WISCONSIN Ron Johnson pushes racial divisions in his closing message to Wis. GOP voters, by WaPos Annie Linskey in Black River Falls, Wis.: As he made his final pitch to voters in western Wisconsin last week, Sen. RON JOHNSON told a story about a truck driver who got stuck while navigating a tricky road. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. 2022 House Election Forecasts These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. She Fixes Cars. PHILADELPHIA The Pennsylvania GOP is trying to figure out what went so horribly wrong in 2022. The current 2022 Senate forecast fromInside Elections. "The margin of victory as reported by the official canvass is 17,117 votes beyond the scope of a statutorily required recount," Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Peter Thompson stated in his order. A GOP postmortem: What went so wrong in Pennsylvania? Jack Dorsey and Elon Musk had an argument about Twitter on Twitter. That advice reflects a recognition among digital campaign staffers that text and email programs have gone from innovative to out of hand, to the point that its harming the campaign ecosystem. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. / February 1, 2023. If those Toss Ups were to. Find out all the ways Emergent perceives, prepares, and protects. Professional private-sector forecasters predict it will decline from 2.5 percent in . I met up with Gluesenkamp Perez for lunch at Charlie Palmer Steakhouse in D.C. its white tablecloths and suit-clad patrons casting a stark contrast with the antler-forward decor and outdoor gear of the other Washingtons eateries. RT @AceElections: In 2022 all of Election Twitter learned a valuable lesson and that is to never question @RalstonReports when it comes to his predictions in the state of Nevada. Table 5: Model predictions for 2022 Senate elections Source: Data compiled by author According to the results displayed in Table 5, only a small minority of Senate contests in 2022 are. These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. Send Playbookers tips to [emailprotected] or text us at 202-556-3307. We start with a quick taxonomy of three different bad prediction archetypes: Misreading: When you make a sincere, clear-eyed attempt to see things as they are, and come to a reasonable conclusion but the great world spins and things turn out differently because you missed something that proved important. Im not focused on anything except getting a majority Tuesday night, Scott said in an interview on NBC News Meet the Press. After host CHUCK TODD replied, Thats a non-answer, Scott repeated his line that he is solely focused on Tuesday's elections., 2024 WATCH Cotton passes on 2024 presidential run after considering campaign, by Alex Isenstadt: Sen. TOM COTTON (R-Ark.) Add FiveThirtyEights model into the mix, and we see handicappers predicting that the GOP will gain between one and 35 seats, with most emphasizing gains in the twenties. or redistributed. RICK SCOTT, R-Fla., the chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, declined Sunday to say whether he would run for majority leader if Republicans gain control of the Senate in the midterm elections. But the GOPs victory could also represent a chance for the United States to finally end its political quagmire. Zimmerman joined local Democrats from the state legislature for a rally outside the Nassau County Courthouse a day after Republican District Attorney Anne Donnelly promised to prosecute Santos if he committed any crimes. Republicans are still suffering from the pandemics fallout. And the escalation in fentanyl poisonings only reinforces the critical need for expanded access to naloxone. This is going to end up as an historic victory for those pushing back against woke. BIDENS MONDAY:9:30 a.m.: The president will receive the Presidents Daily Brief.4 p.m.: Biden will participate in virtual receptions for the DNC.5:45 p.m.: Biden and first lady JILL BIDEN will depart the White House en route to Bowie, Md.7 p.m.: The Bidens will participate in a rally for Maryland Democratic gubernatorial candidate WES MOORE.8:25 p.m.: The Bidens will depart Bowie to return to the White House.Press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE will brief at 1:45 p.m.VP KAMALA HARRIS MONDAY (all times Eastern):4:10 p.m.: The VP will deliver remarks at a political event at UCLA.5 p.m.: Harris will join a virtual political event. Michigan Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November . American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. has been reaching out to donors, supporters and senior Republicans over the last few days to inform them of his plans, according to two people familiar with his deliberations. In Kentucky, Republicans held on to five of the states six congressional districts and a Senate seat. | Drew Angerer/Getty Images. Similarly, Democratic Sen. Maggie Hassan is narrowly ahead of GOP candidate Don Bolduc in New Hampshire, though Bolduc is within striking distance. Republican Mehmet Oz is seeking to close a deficit with Democrat John Fetterman in the open-seat race. She currently is managing director at Bully Pulpit Interactive. This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply. The winning party on Tuesday, likely the GOP, will point to the results as evidence of a new unstoppable movement that will sweep away the other side. For the White House, that would be just the beginning of the hurdles.. Are you enjoying this article? In lieu of a nominee, Democrats in Utah have endorsed independent Evan McMullin. The current 2022 Senate forecast from CNalysis, which provides nonpartisan election analysis with a particular focus on state legislative elections. Copy Code. All rights reserved. DESANTIS TOUTS WIN FOR THE AGES AS HE AND RUBIO SCORE BIG VICTORIES, SHADING PURPLE FLORIDA RED. The red wave never arrived, nor did the Russian victory over Ukraine. Our country moved rightward in a direction that is discernible, yet not dramatically. As a sign of the seriousness of the effort, the state party has enlisted Public Opinion Strategies, a D.C. area-based firm, to conduct the review of the 2022 election. But unfounded accusations of fraud and other malfeasance continue to tear at the machinery of U.S. elections. Lake, a Republican, lost by around 17,000 votes to Katie Hobbs, Arizona's secretary of state, but sued Maricopa County and Hobbs to overturn the results under the state's election contest statutes. The Democratic Party will get antsy very soon. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Brandon Phillips was arrested last month on a charge of animal cruelty. With the end of October nearing, here are the predictions for each state with those Senate seats up for election, per FiveThirtyEight. We rated every race in play in 2022. But the driver was an African American gentleman. There was a wave election in Pennsylvania for Democrats Progressive favorite Katie Porter wins re-election after days of counting House Republicans plan investigations and possible. Walgreens wont distribute abortion pills in states where GOP AGs object, Washingtons Favorite Republican Is Making All the Right Moves, See all the latest midterm election results. I cover so many local races that I had to do an accompanying San Francisco story. There are 26 seats rated as Toss Up races where neither party has a significant advantage. In 2018, Democrats won 15 of POLITICOs 22 Toss Up contests in their 40-seat wave election. Supporters of both candidates have accused the other side of unfairly injecting race into the campaign. December 5:Georgia runoff is rated Leans Democratic. It was, in other words, meant to look presidential. South Carolina Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to . @JMilesColeman . Meanwhile, Joe Biden and his Party face a future where a possible open presidential primary bleeds a crucial voting block. The days of unchecked Democratic rule, runaway spending, and killing American energy are done. Johnson said he is typically impatient but was not in this case because he witnessed something heartwarming: The people of the small community in central Wisconsin sprang into action to help the truck driver get going again. Playbook couldnt happen without our editor Mike DeBonis, deputy editor Zack Stanton and producers Setota Hailemariam and Bethany Irvine. Here's the precinct map of the 2022 US Senate election in Nevada. This is an interactive Senate map derived from the Deluxe version of theFiveThirtyEight 2022 Election Forecast. Return here to share it. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. We work hard to make predictions that are both accurate and defensible. The forecast. The rate of return on individual appeals is falling compared to a few years ago, as candidates and outside groups find themselves targeting the same pool of donors. ), Wishcasting: When you base a prediction less on a sober reading of what is likely to happen than on what youd personally like to happen. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. You can unsubscribe at any time and can contact us here. Read the analysis>. Legal Statement. (For a non-political example, me predicting in August that this will be the year the Detroit Lions win the Super Bowl.). A handful of Republican National Committee members denounced former President Donald Trump, with one pushing for fellow members and RNC Chair Ronna McDaniel to forcefully condemn his decision to host a pre-Thanksgiving dinner with antisemites. This Election Day, Listen to the Betting Market Instead of Pundit Predictions Over time, betting has been a better predictor than polls, pundits, statistical models, and everything . He previously was legislative director for Rep. Ted Lieu (D-Calif.) and is a Henry Waxman alum. Tuesdays midterm elections will likely dramatically shape Bidens next two years in office. Matthew O'Shea is facing a tough battle against . After Trump attempted to use the courts to change the results of the 2020 election, many Republicans borrowed a page from that playbook. Over a steak salad rare Gluesenkamp Perez gave a bracing critique of her partys deeply out-of-touch approach to the middle class, why the partys leaders seem to be making that problem worse, not better, and how closing the widening gap between the partys brain trust and its blue-collar roots can be accomplished by reconnecting Americans with our lost ability to fix your own shit.. One wanted the chair to speak out. Though Republicans may not be able to completely turn the country around all at once Joe Biden is still president, after all the GOP can still provide a very effective brake pedal. Note, if Republican incumbents in Massachusetts, New Hampshire and Vermont retire, my ratings in those states will change. There was no red wave, but more of a red ripple. Nov. 4, 2022 I've used prediction markets for years, never for trading but rather as a source of information, an interesting adjunct to polls, economic and political models, and traditional. Republicans currently hold. Perhaps a good marker for measuring how well the Republicans do is 235, which is the number of seats Democrats won in 2018 (and would represent a net gain of 22). Likely Democratic: 20 seats Lean Democratic: 27 seats Toss-Up: 26 seats Lean Republican: 18 seats Likely Republican: 37 seats Solid Republican: 162 seats Advertisement The current breakdown of the. 3 Questions We Have About George Santos Jan 5, 2023; Congress. McDaniel claims the support of a majority of committee members, but has recently faced challenges for the chair position. I am flabbergasted at the lack of outrage from Ronna about this, Oscar Brock, a national committeeman from Tennessee, wrote in one of a series of private email threads obtained by POLITICO. This has happened all but two times since World War II. Tiny changes in vote totals create massive changes in the ideological direction of those institutions Trump vs. Biden, KEVIN McCARTHY vs. NANCY PELOSI. Thousands of people filled the standing-room-only space, which had increased security and huge sets of bleachers that arent normally featured at such events. See all our US midterms 2022 coverage. (See here this afternoon for his final analysis.). Collins (R-Ga.) has not formally announced that Phillips, 36, will be his chief of staff, but three Georgia Republican congressional staffers told POLITICO he has been selected for the job. / February 9, 2023. Click or tap any of the thumbnails for an interactive version that you can use to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. Gold regain its shine. Cotton has attributed his decision to family concerns, saying that a national campaign would take him away from his two young sons, who are seven and five years old., TRUMP VS. DeSANTIS The shadow campaign between Trump and Florida Gov. | Brynn Anderson/AP Photo. My Predictions for the 2022 Midterm Elections. Come January, he may find himself needing to govern with those hes cast as democracys threats, Jonathan Lemire writes this morning.

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