In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. It feels like the new Florida. Same caution about borders applies. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. These editorials note the increasingly polarized political strife in the U.S. between Republican voters and Democratic voters. Due to the general absence of overwhelming victories, this technique results in mostly shades. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. However, because of the large geographical size of many states in the Central and Southern United States, the color-coded map appeared to show great support for Bush and the Republicans with smaller outliers of Democratic support on the coasts and near the Great Lakes.[32]. Be the first to know breaking news, delivered only when a big story is developing. These are general election results for the years listed. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Since the 1984 election, CBS has used the opposite scheme: blue for Democrats, red for Republicans. While there are various techniques available, the choice is essentially arbitrary. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. For other uses, see, Contrast with color usage in other countries, Table of presidential elections by states since 1972. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? 4, another 2020 red state. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. But Pennsylvania is now red. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Purple haze Pa.: Why the Keystone State is always a presidential battleground. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Winner chosen by the House of Representatives But the cultural wounds cut the deepest, and are the most likely to drive working-class people to look at the coastal elites and say: "That. All three of those states were very close in both elections. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? In 2008, college graduates were divided equally; those with postgraduate degrees voted for Obama by an 18% margin. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. Trump:61,386 (60.51%) Continue with Recommended Cookies. Independent candidate Ralph Nader did not win any electoral votes, yet he received 2% of the vote of voters from high-income households and voters with graduate degrees. The Tennessee Department of Health reports that 1,451 people died of drug overdose within the state in 2015. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. [1] NBC newsman David Brinkley famously referred to the 1980 election map outcome showing Republican Ronald Reagan's 44-state landslide in blue as resembling a "suburban swimming pool".[14]. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee alluded to the color scheme when it launched a national Red to Blue Program in 2006. Electoral votes invalidated. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. But also, the early voter turnout we're seeing has been - seems to have been a factor. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. In the days after the 2000 election, the outcome of which was unknown for some time after election day, major media outlets began conforming to the same color scheme because the electoral map was continually in view, and conformity made for easy and instant viewer comprehension. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. Over the last decade, there has been a notable increase in Latinos' share of the overall population in Arizona, up from 25 to 31 percent since 2000. The state's 20 electoral votes could be pivotal in the 2020 race. A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Error! If . This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. That's why it was interesting to see Trump rehash his line on fracking in Bucks County during a rally on Saturday. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. All Rights Reserved. It is now seen that the Democratic Blue and Republican Red color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Several incidents will require follow-up byinvestigators. For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Same for GA senate races Charlie. (PA, GA, MI)". The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. But in western Pennsylvania, as well as the northeast, it's more popular and has led to a boom in some areas that have been struggling economically for a long time. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. With the exception of Maricopa County (Phoenix), Trump won all the Arizona counties that voted for him in 2016 by even greater margins in 2020. These county-by-county and district-by-district maps reveal that the true nature of the divide is between urban areas and inner suburbs and rural and exurban areas. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Neither party national committee has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. Gray indicates available electoral votes that were either not cast or cast for a candidate not on the ballot. Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). We may be entering the brief "blue mirage" portion of the night, where Biden deceptively looks like he's doing well because counties first report the mail ballots they've been counting all day, and Biden supporters disproportionately voted by mail. List Of Blue States And Red States No. To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote Lancaster County is 52 percent Republican, 32 percent Democrat and 16 percent independents and others. In September, just eight states had. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. While the blue states represented a comparatively small geographic area, they contained large populations, which made President Bush's national endorsement less than the redblue map would seem to indicate. The advent of color television in America during the late 1950s and early 1960s prompted television news reporters to rely on color-coded electoral maps, though sources conflict as to the conventions they used. All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. Press Enter to view state-level map. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. Americas Colleges Have Become Progressive Liberal Rat Holes, Russia and the High Priesthood of the Neocon Synod, DeSantis Hits the Road for Law and Order Tour. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. #V. Explained! Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Mitchell Thorson, Kevin Crowe, Dian Zhang, and Dan Keemahill contributed to this report. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. [33] The polarization has been present for only four close elections (2000, 2004, 2016, and 2020). It is not a red state. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. ", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Red_states_and_blue_states&oldid=1142683256, This page was last edited on 3 March 2023, at 20:42. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Last election, Pennsylvania was a red state. That march then met Hillary Clinton's 'blue wall' states which, at one time, included Pennsylvania. Catholic and Protestant Christians were more likely to vote for McCain than for Obama, whereas voters of other faiths, as well as secular atheist and agnostic voters, predominantly favored Obama. Voters will also nominate candidates for Congress and the state Legislature. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Both provided Obama with double-digit margins of victory over McCain. But I've got news for them, too. [41][note 1][42]. But What about Investing in Bonds? Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. So he has a little cushion there to workwith. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Which ones are more politically competitive? Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! The paradigm has been criticised on several fronts. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. But registration figures vary greatly by county. The colors red and blue are also featured on the United States flag. Red states vs. blue states. More married men voted for McCain, but more single men voted for Obama. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. 22 vs. 27th) and better average grades in eight of the 14 separate ranking topics: livability, rai Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Massachusetts is a blue state with a red governor making red states look worse on mortality. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Not one! Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Sen. Bob Casey and local Democratic Party leaders also said there was massive turnout in the Philadelphia suburbs, which would be a win for Biden. As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Well, Arizona is still counting and theres enough coming in to turn the state. The state went to Trump in 2016, but this time around, it flipped to Biden by a narrow margin. By breaking the map down into smaller units (including many blue counties lying next to red counties), these maps tend to display many states with a purplish hue, thus demonstrating that an ostensibly blue or red state may, in fact, be closely divided. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. What are red and blue states?

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